Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Luis Estrella

STL · DSL · OF · Age 18

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score51.5#1,503 Overall
Baseline49Most likely outcome
Performance54Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor39Lower-end outcome
Baseline49Most likely outcome
Ceiling63High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
54Developing performance profile
Offensive impact1.016 OPSStrong overall offensive impact
Contact29.9% KContact risk
On-base foundation.439 OBPStrong on-base foundation

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping46How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid32Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection41.7
Projected Range23–60
Arrival Probability4%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationSt. Louis Cardinals
LevelDSL
PositionOF
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 49
54 49.5 45 2026-09-02 · Median 50 2026-09-03 · Median 50 2026-09-05 · Median 50 2026-09-06 · Median 50 2026-09-09 · Median 50 2026-09-14 · Median 49.9 2026-09-15 · Median 50 2026-09-16 · Median 50 2026-09-17 · Median 50 2026-09-18 · Median 49 2026-09-19 · Median 49 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 49 2026-09-24 · Median 49 2026-09-25 · Median 49 2026-09-29 · Median 49 2026-09-30 · Median 49 2026-10-03 · Median 49 2026-10-04 · Median 49 2026-10-05 · Median 49 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0549
2026-10-0449
2026-10-0349
2026-09-3049
2026-09-2949
2026-09-2549
2026-09-2449
2026-09-2249
2026-09-2149
2026-09-1949
2026-09-1849
2026-09-1750
2026-09-1650
2026-09-1550
2026-09-1449.9
2026-09-0950
2026-09-0650
2026-09-0550
2026-09-0350
2026-09-0250