Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Luis Hernandez

SF · DSL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.

Rank#6,025
Score19.1
Baseline23
Signal-29.4
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline23
Ceiling33
Confidence49 Risk56 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Luis Hernandez

SF · DSL · P

San Francisco Giants · Age at assessment: 21.0 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.

PB Rank#6,025
Prospect Score19.1
Median23
Performance Signal-29.4
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
202333
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -29.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 23 Latest recorded 23
28 23.5 19 2026-08-16 · Median 23 2026-08-17 · Median 23 2026-08-18 · Median 23 2026-08-19 · Median 23 2026-08-20 · Median 23 2026-08-22 · Median 23 2026-08-23 · Median 23.1 2026-08-25 · Median 23.1 2026-08-27 · Median 23.1 2026-08-28 · Median 23.1 2026-09-01 · Median 23.1 2026-09-02 · Median 23.1 2026-09-03 · Median 23.1 2026-09-05 · Median 23.1 2026-09-06 · Median 23.1 2026-09-09 · Median 23.3 2026-09-14 · Median 23.2 2026-09-15 · Median 23.2 2026-09-16 · Median 23 2026-09-17 · Median 23 2026-09-18 · Median 23 2026-09-19 · Median 23 2026-09-21 · Median 23 2026-09-22 · Median 23 2026-09-24 · Median 23 2026-09-25 · Median 23 2026-09-29 · Median 23 2026-09-30 · Median 23 2026-10-03 · Median 23 2026-10-04 · Median 23 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 23

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0423
2026-10-0323
2026-09-3023
2026-09-2923
2026-09-2523
2026-09-2423
2026-09-2223
2026-09-2123
2026-09-1923
2026-09-1823
2026-09-1723
2026-09-1623
2026-09-1523.2
2026-09-1423.2
2026-09-0923.3
2026-09-0623.1
2026-09-0523.1
2026-09-0323.1
2026-09-0223.1
2026-09-0123.1
2026-08-2823.1
2026-08-2723.1
2026-08-2523.1
2026-08-2323.1
2026-08-2223
2026-08-2023
2026-08-1923
2026-08-1823
2026-08-1723
2026-08-1623

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 49
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 56
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
202333
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -29.4

Profile Context

RiskMedium Risk · 56
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence49
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection32.1
Projected range7–57
Arrival probability0%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.