Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Luis Velasquez

NYY · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#1,871
Score48.6
Baseline45
Signal+5.7
Trend-0.8
Floor37
Baseline45
Ceiling54
Confidence51 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Luis Velasquez

NYY · High-A · P

New York Yankees · Age at assessment: 25.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#1,871
Prospect Score48.6
Median45
Performance Signal+5.7
Trend-0.8

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.8
374554
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +5.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 49 Latest recorded 45
53 47 41 2026-08-16 · Median 49 2026-08-17 · Median 49 2026-08-18 · Median 49 2026-08-19 · Median 49 2026-08-20 · Median 49 2026-08-22 · Median 49 2026-08-23 · Median 49 2026-08-25 · Median 49 2026-08-27 · Median 49 2026-08-28 · Median 49 2026-09-01 · Median 49 2026-09-02 · Median 49 2026-09-03 · Median 49 2026-09-05 · Median 49 2026-09-06 · Median 49 2026-09-09 · Median 46 2026-09-14 · Median 45.6 2026-09-15 · Median 46 2026-09-16 · Median 46 2026-09-17 · Median 46 2026-09-18 · Median 46 2026-09-19 · Median 46 2026-09-21 · Median 46 2026-09-22 · Median 46 2026-09-24 · Median 46 2026-09-25 · Median 46 2026-09-29 · Median 46 2026-09-30 · Median 46 2026-10-03 · Median 46 2026-10-04 · Median 45 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 45

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0445
2026-10-0346
2026-09-3046
2026-09-2946
2026-09-2546
2026-09-2446
2026-09-2246
2026-09-2146
2026-09-1946
2026-09-1846
2026-09-1746
2026-09-1646
2026-09-1546
2026-09-1445.6
2026-09-0946
2026-09-0649
2026-09-0549
2026-09-0349
2026-09-0249
2026-09-0149
2026-08-2849
2026-08-2749
2026-08-2549
2026-08-2349
2026-08-2249
2026-08-2049
2026-08-1949
2026-08-1849
2026-08-1749
2026-08-1649

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 51
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.8
374554
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +5.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence51
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection47.1
Projected range22–72
Arrival probability11%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.