Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Luke Gabrysh

NYM · AA · P

New York Mets · Age at assessment: 23.5 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#647
Prospect Score60.5
Median56
Performance Signal-0.2
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
515663
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -0.2

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 49 Latest recorded 56
62 53.5 45 2026-08-14 · Median 49 2026-08-16 · Median 51 2026-08-17 · Median 51 2026-08-18 · Median 51 2026-08-19 · Median 51 2026-08-20 · Median 58 2026-08-22 · Median 54 2026-08-23 · Median 53.4 2026-08-25 · Median 53.4 2026-08-27 · Median 53 2026-08-28 · Median 53 2026-09-01 · Median 51 2026-09-02 · Median 51 2026-09-03 · Median 51 2026-09-05 · Median 51 2026-09-06 · Median 51 2026-09-09 · Median 57 2026-09-14 · Median 56.2 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 56 2026-09-29 · Median 56 2026-09-30 · Median 56 2026-10-03 · Median 56 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0356
2026-09-3056
2026-09-2956
2026-09-2556
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
2026-09-1856
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1456.2
2026-09-0957
2026-09-0651
2026-09-0551
2026-09-0351
2026-09-0251
2026-09-0151
2026-08-2853
2026-08-2753
2026-08-2553.4
2026-08-2353.4
2026-08-2254
2026-08-2058
2026-08-1951
2026-08-1851
2026-08-1751
2026-08-1651
2026-08-1449

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 63
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
515663
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -0.2

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence63
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection48.5
Projected range26–71
Arrival probability39%
Productive role probability6%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.