Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Luke Hanson

TEX · AA · 2B

Texas Rangers · Age at assessment: 23.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#946
Prospect Score56.7
Median53
Performance Signal-4.4
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
475359
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -4.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 53
58 50.5 43 2026-08-14 · Median 50 2026-08-16 · Median 50 2026-08-17 · Median 50 2026-08-18 · Median 50 2026-08-19 · Median 49 2026-08-20 · Median 49 2026-08-22 · Median 49 2026-08-23 · Median 49 2026-08-25 · Median 49 2026-08-27 · Median 49 2026-08-28 · Median 49 2026-09-01 · Median 47 2026-09-02 · Median 47 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 54 2026-09-14 · Median 52.4 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 52 2026-09-21 · Median 52 2026-09-22 · Median 52 2026-09-24 · Median 52 2026-09-25 · Median 53 2026-09-29 · Median 53 2026-09-30 · Median 53 2026-10-03 · Median 53 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 53

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0353
2026-09-3053
2026-09-2953
2026-09-2553
2026-09-2452
2026-09-2252
2026-09-2152
2026-09-1952
2026-09-1852
2026-09-1752
2026-09-1652
2026-09-1552
2026-09-1452.4
2026-09-0954
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0247
2026-09-0147
2026-08-2849
2026-08-2749
2026-08-2549
2026-08-2349
2026-08-2249
2026-08-2049
2026-08-1949
2026-08-1850
2026-08-1750
2026-08-1650
2026-08-1450

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
475359
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -4.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection41.9
Projected range25–59
Arrival probability49%
Productive role probability6%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.