Player Profile
Luke Hayden
CIN · AA · P · Age 24
Bats R · Throws RProspect Score48.8#1,832 Overall
Baseline47Most likely outcome
Performance40Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable
Projected Outcome
Prospect Baseline model rangeFloor40Lower-end outcome
Baseline47Most likely outcome
Ceiling54High-end outcome
Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way
Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.
Performance
Selected evidence40Developing performance profile
Miss ability10.5 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command5.9 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.53 WHIPElevated traffic
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleIndividual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.
Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid61How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh10Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection38.1
Projected Range13–63
Arrival Probability14%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationCincinnati Reds
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 48
Latest recorded 47
2026-10-05 · Median 47
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 47 |
| 2026-10-04 | 47 |
| 2026-10-03 | 47 |
| 2026-09-30 | 47 |
| 2026-09-29 | 47 |
| 2026-09-25 | 47 |
| 2026-09-24 | 47 |
| 2026-09-22 | 47 |
| 2026-09-21 | 47 |
| 2026-09-19 | 47 |
| 2026-09-18 | 47 |
| 2026-09-17 | 47 |
| 2026-09-16 | 47 |
| 2026-09-15 | 47 |
| 2026-09-14 | 47.3 |
| 2026-09-09 | 48 |
| 2026-09-06 | 48 |
| 2026-09-05 | 48 |
| 2026-09-03 | 48 |
| 2026-09-02 | 48 |