Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Luke Holman

CIN · Single-A · P IL(60-Day)

Cincinnati Reds · Age at assessment: 23.7 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Command results ahead of the tool grade

Current strike throwing is outperforming the verified command expectation

Low Confidence · 50%
PB Rank#2,125
Prospect Score47
Median50
Performance48
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Command 50; command evidence sits near the 96th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 1.3

What could change the read

  • A 12.1 K/9 shows the stuff is still missing bats

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+23.9 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 91
Command+46.5 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 97

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 35 Latest recorded 50
55 42.5 30 2026-07-23 · Median 35 2026-07-24 · Median 34 2026-07-25 · Median 34 2026-07-26 · Median 34 2026-07-27 · Median 34 2026-07-28 · Median 34 2026-07-29 · Median 34 2026-07-30 · Median 34 2026-07-31 · Median 34 2026-08-01 · Median 34 2026-08-03 · Median 34 2026-08-05 · Median 34 2026-08-07 · Median 34 2026-08-08 · Median 37 2026-08-09 · Median 37 2026-08-10 · Median 37 2026-08-11 · Median 37 2026-08-13 · Median 37 2026-08-14 · Median 37 2026-08-16 · Median 37 2026-08-17 · Median 37 2026-08-18 · Median 37 2026-08-19 · Median 37 2026-08-20 · Median 37 2026-08-22 · Median 37 2026-08-23 · Median 37.3 2026-08-25 · Median 37.3 2026-08-27 · Median 50 2026-08-28 · Median 50 2026-09-01 · Median 50 2026-09-02 · Median 50 2026-09-03 · Median 50 2026-09-05 · Median 50 2026-09-06 · Median 50 2026-09-09 · Median 50 2026-09-14 · Median 50.1 2026-09-15 · Median 50 2026-09-16 · Median 50 2026-09-17 · Median 50 2026-09-18 · Median 50 2026-09-19 · Median 50 2026-09-21 · Median 50 2026-09-22 · Median 50 2026-09-24 · Median 50 2026-09-25 · Median 50 2026-07-23 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2550
2026-09-2450
2026-09-2250
2026-09-2150
2026-09-1950
2026-09-1850
2026-09-1750
2026-09-1650
2026-09-1550
2026-09-1450.1
2026-09-0950
2026-09-0650
2026-09-0550
2026-09-0350
2026-09-0250
2026-09-0150
2026-08-2850
2026-08-2750
2026-08-2537.3
2026-08-2337.3
2026-08-2237
2026-08-2037
2026-08-1937
2026-08-1837
2026-08-1737
2026-08-1637
2026-08-1437
2026-08-1337
2026-08-1137
2026-08-1037
2026-08-0937
2026-08-0837
2026-08-0734
2026-08-0534
2026-08-0334
2026-08-0134
2026-07-3134
2026-07-3034
2026-07-2934
2026-07-2834
2026-07-2734
2026-07-2634
2026-07-2534
2026-07-2434
2026-07-2335

Metrics to follow

BB/9 1.3

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 0.90

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 29.6%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G4
IP6.2
ERA2.70
WHIP0.90
K/912.2
BB/91.4
K-BB%29.6%

ACL Reds · ACL · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
395067
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 48

Profile Context

RiskMedium Risk · 52
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence60
TypePitcher

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball50Avg
Slider icon
Slider60Above Avg
Curveball icon
Curveball50Avg
Changeup icon
Changeup45Fringe
Command icon
Control50Avg
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderCurveballChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Slider-Driven

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026ACL RedsACL002.704406.25220190.9012.15
2025Daytona TortugasSingle-A001.002209.021104100.6710.00

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-22T00:11:19.

Checklist appearances

  • 2024 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Cincinnati Reds profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.