Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Luke Hoskins

DET · High-A · P

Detroit Tigers · Age at assessment: 23.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#888
Prospect Score57.5
Median54
Performance Signal+16.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
475462
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +16.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 47 Latest recorded 54
59 43 27 2026-08-14 · Median 47 2026-08-16 · Median 31 2026-08-17 · Median 31 2026-08-18 · Median 31 2026-08-19 · Median 31 2026-08-20 · Median 41 2026-08-22 · Median 41 2026-08-23 · Median 43.5 2026-08-25 · Median 43.5 2026-08-27 · Median 43 2026-08-28 · Median 43 2026-09-01 · Median 47 2026-09-02 · Median 47 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 55 2026-09-14 · Median 54.7 2026-09-15 · Median 55 2026-09-16 · Median 55 2026-09-17 · Median 54 2026-09-18 · Median 54 2026-09-19 · Median 54 2026-09-21 · Median 54 2026-09-22 · Median 54 2026-09-24 · Median 54 2026-09-25 · Median 54 2026-09-29 · Median 54 2026-09-30 · Median 54 2026-10-03 · Median 54 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 54

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0354
2026-09-3054
2026-09-2954
2026-09-2554
2026-09-2454
2026-09-2254
2026-09-2154
2026-09-1954
2026-09-1854
2026-09-1754
2026-09-1655
2026-09-1555
2026-09-1454.7
2026-09-0955
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0247
2026-09-0147
2026-08-2843
2026-08-2743
2026-08-2543.5
2026-08-2343.5
2026-08-2241
2026-08-2041
2026-08-1931
2026-08-1831
2026-08-1731
2026-08-1631
2026-08-1447

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 58
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
475462
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +16.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence58
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection51.6
Projected range27–77
Arrival probability12%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.