Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Luke Lashutka

MIA · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

Rank#5,569
Score23.6
Baseline30
Signal-7.8
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline30
Ceiling41
Confidence39 Risk86 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Luke Lashutka

MIA · High-A · P

Miami Marlins · Age at assessment: 24.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

PB Rank#5,569
Prospect Score23.6
Median30
Performance Signal-7.8
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
203041
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -7.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 35 Latest recorded 30
39 32 25 2026-06-19 · Median 35 2026-06-20 · Median 35 2026-06-21 · Median 35 2026-06-22 · Median 35 2026-06-23 · Median 35 2026-06-24 · Median 35 2026-06-25 · Median 35 2026-06-26 · Median 35 2026-08-27 · Median 29 2026-08-28 · Median 29 2026-09-01 · Median 29 2026-09-02 · Median 29 2026-09-03 · Median 29 2026-09-05 · Median 29 2026-09-06 · Median 29 2026-09-09 · Median 31 2026-09-14 · Median 30.6 2026-09-15 · Median 31 2026-09-16 · Median 31 2026-09-17 · Median 31 2026-09-18 · Median 31 2026-09-19 · Median 31 2026-09-21 · Median 31 2026-09-22 · Median 31 2026-09-24 · Median 31 2026-09-25 · Median 31 2026-09-29 · Median 30 2026-09-30 · Median 30 2026-10-03 · Median 30 2026-10-04 · Median 30 2026-06-19 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 30

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0430
2026-10-0330
2026-09-3030
2026-09-2930
2026-09-2531
2026-09-2431
2026-09-2231
2026-09-2131
2026-09-1931
2026-09-1831
2026-09-1731
2026-09-1631
2026-09-1531
2026-09-1430.6
2026-09-0931
2026-09-0629
2026-09-0529
2026-09-0329
2026-09-0229
2026-09-0129
2026-08-2829
2026-08-2729
2026-06-2635
2026-06-2535
2026-06-2435
2026-06-2335
2026-06-2235
2026-06-2135
2026-06-2035
2026-06-1935

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 39
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 86
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
203041
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -7.8

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 86
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence39
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.