Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Luke Shliger

DET · AA · C

Detroit Tigers · Age at assessment: 25.0 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#995
Prospect Score56.2
Median54
Performance Signal+8.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
475460
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +8.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 37 Latest recorded 54
58 45.5 33 2026-08-14 · Median 37 2026-08-16 · Median 37 2026-08-17 · Median 37 2026-08-18 · Median 37 2026-08-19 · Median 37 2026-08-20 · Median 46 2026-08-22 · Median 46 2026-08-23 · Median 45.7 2026-08-25 · Median 45.7 2026-08-27 · Median 46 2026-08-28 · Median 46 2026-09-01 · Median 46 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 46 2026-09-05 · Median 46 2026-09-06 · Median 46 2026-09-09 · Median 53 2026-09-14 · Median 53.6 2026-09-15 · Median 54 2026-09-16 · Median 54 2026-09-17 · Median 54 2026-09-18 · Median 54 2026-09-19 · Median 54 2026-09-21 · Median 54 2026-09-22 · Median 54 2026-09-24 · Median 54 2026-09-25 · Median 54 2026-09-29 · Median 54 2026-09-30 · Median 54 2026-10-03 · Median 54 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 54

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0354
2026-09-3054
2026-09-2954
2026-09-2554
2026-09-2454
2026-09-2254
2026-09-2154
2026-09-1954
2026-09-1854
2026-09-1754
2026-09-1654
2026-09-1554
2026-09-1453.6
2026-09-0953
2026-09-0646
2026-09-0546
2026-09-0346
2026-09-0246
2026-09-0146
2026-08-2846
2026-08-2746
2026-08-2545.7
2026-08-2345.7
2026-08-2246
2026-08-2046
2026-08-1937
2026-08-1837
2026-08-1737
2026-08-1637
2026-08-1437

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
475460
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +8.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection43.7
Projected range27–61
Arrival probability44%
Productive role probability4%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.