Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Malvin Fernandez

ATL · High-A · SS

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#647
Score60.5
Baseline61
Signal-4.4
Trend0.0
Floor52
Baseline61
Ceiling71
Confidence56 Risk12 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Malvin Fernandez

ATL · High-A · SS

Atlanta Braves · Age at assessment: 18.1 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#647
Prospect Score60.5
Median61
Performance Signal-4.4
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
526171
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -4.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 67 Latest recorded 61
71 56 41 2026-08-16 · Median 67 2026-08-17 · Median 67 2026-08-18 · Median 67 2026-08-19 · Median 67 2026-08-20 · Median 46 2026-08-22 · Median 46 2026-08-23 · Median 45.6 2026-08-25 · Median 45.6 2026-08-27 · Median 46 2026-08-28 · Median 46 2026-09-01 · Median 46 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 46 2026-09-05 · Median 46 2026-09-06 · Median 46 2026-09-09 · Median 62 2026-09-14 · Median 61.5 2026-09-15 · Median 61 2026-09-16 · Median 61 2026-09-17 · Median 61 2026-09-18 · Median 61 2026-09-19 · Median 61 2026-09-21 · Median 61 2026-09-22 · Median 61 2026-09-24 · Median 61 2026-09-25 · Median 61 2026-09-29 · Median 61 2026-09-30 · Median 61 2026-10-03 · Median 61 2026-10-04 · Median 61 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 61

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0461
2026-10-0361
2026-09-3061
2026-09-2961
2026-09-2561
2026-09-2461
2026-09-2261
2026-09-2161
2026-09-1961
2026-09-1861
2026-09-1761
2026-09-1661
2026-09-1561
2026-09-1461.5
2026-09-0962
2026-09-0646
2026-09-0546
2026-09-0346
2026-09-0246
2026-09-0146
2026-08-2846
2026-08-2746
2026-08-2545.6
2026-08-2345.6
2026-08-2246
2026-08-2046
2026-08-1967
2026-08-1867
2026-08-1767
2026-08-1667

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 56
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
526171
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -4.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence56
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection37.8
Projected range20–56
Arrival probability8%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.