Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Manuel Colon

PHI · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,403
Score52.1
Baseline52
Signal-1.9
Trend0.0
Floor43
Baseline52
Ceiling60
Confidence54 Risk27 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Manuel Colon

PHI · Single-A · P

Philadelphia Phillies · Age at assessment: 19.8 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,403
Prospect Score52.1
Median52
Performance Signal-1.9
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
435260
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.9

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 48 Latest recorded 52
65 54.5 44 2026-08-16 · Median 48 2026-08-17 · Median 48 2026-08-18 · Median 48 2026-08-19 · Median 48 2026-08-20 · Median 61 2026-08-22 · Median 61 2026-08-23 · Median 60.8 2026-08-25 · Median 60.8 2026-08-27 · Median 61 2026-08-28 · Median 61 2026-09-01 · Median 61 2026-09-02 · Median 61 2026-09-03 · Median 61 2026-09-05 · Median 61 2026-09-06 · Median 61 2026-09-09 · Median 52 2026-09-14 · Median 51.9 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 52 2026-09-21 · Median 52 2026-09-22 · Median 52 2026-09-24 · Median 51 2026-09-25 · Median 51 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-10-04 · Median 52 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0452
2026-10-0351
2026-09-3051
2026-09-2951
2026-09-2551
2026-09-2451
2026-09-2252
2026-09-2152
2026-09-1952
2026-09-1852
2026-09-1752
2026-09-1652
2026-09-1552
2026-09-1451.9
2026-09-0952
2026-09-0661
2026-09-0561
2026-09-0361
2026-09-0261
2026-09-0161
2026-08-2861
2026-08-2761
2026-08-2560.8
2026-08-2360.8
2026-08-2261
2026-08-2061
2026-08-1948
2026-08-1848
2026-08-1748
2026-08-1648

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 54
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 27
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
435260
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.9

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 27
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence54
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection49.6
Projected range25–75
Arrival probability5%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.