Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Manuel Olivares

COL · Single-A · P · Age 25

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score36.8#3,601 Overall
Baseline37Most likely outcome
Performance34Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor29Lower-end outcome
Baseline37Most likely outcome
Ceiling45High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
34Developing performance profile
Miss ability9.5 K/9Near expected range
Command4.3 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.55 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid56How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh22Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection44.7
Projected Range24–66
Arrival Probability5%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationColorado Rockies
LevelSingle-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 36 Latest recorded 37
41 36.5 32 2026-09-02 · Median 36 2026-09-03 · Median 36 2026-09-05 · Median 36 2026-09-06 · Median 36 2026-09-09 · Median 37 2026-09-14 · Median 36.6 2026-09-15 · Median 37 2026-09-16 · Median 37 2026-09-17 · Median 37 2026-09-18 · Median 37 2026-09-19 · Median 37 2026-09-21 · Median 37 2026-09-22 · Median 37 2026-09-24 · Median 37 2026-09-25 · Median 37 2026-09-29 · Median 37 2026-09-30 · Median 37 2026-10-03 · Median 37 2026-10-04 · Median 37 2026-10-05 · Median 37 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 37

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0537
2026-10-0437
2026-10-0337
2026-09-3037
2026-09-2937
2026-09-2537
2026-09-2437
2026-09-2237
2026-09-2137
2026-09-1937
2026-09-1837
2026-09-1737
2026-09-1637
2026-09-1537
2026-09-1436.6
2026-09-0937
2026-09-0636
2026-09-0536
2026-09-0336
2026-09-0236