Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Mario Zabala

SD · Single-A · P · Age 24

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score23.0#5,698 Overall
Baseline29Most likely outcome
Performance43Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline29Most likely outcome
Ceiling41High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
43Developing performance profile
Balanced Performance Profile

No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceLimited28How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited73Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationSan Diego Padres
LevelSingle-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 29 Latest recorded 29
34 29.5 25 2026-09-02 · Median 29 2026-09-03 · Median 29 2026-09-05 · Median 29 2026-09-06 · Median 29 2026-09-09 · Median 29 2026-09-14 · Median 29.1 2026-09-15 · Median 29 2026-09-16 · Median 29 2026-09-17 · Median 29 2026-09-18 · Median 29 2026-09-19 · Median 29 2026-09-21 · Median 29 2026-09-22 · Median 29 2026-09-24 · Median 29 2026-09-25 · Median 29 2026-09-29 · Median 29 2026-09-30 · Median 29 2026-10-03 · Median 29 2026-10-04 · Median 29 2026-10-05 · Median 29 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 29

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0529
2026-10-0429
2026-10-0329
2026-09-3029
2026-09-2929
2026-09-2529
2026-09-2429
2026-09-2229
2026-09-2129
2026-09-1929
2026-09-1829
2026-09-1729
2026-09-1629
2026-09-1529
2026-09-1429.1
2026-09-0929
2026-09-0629
2026-09-0529
2026-09-0329
2026-09-0229