Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Marvin Alcantara

BOS · AA · SS · Age 22

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score53.5#1,254 Overall
Baseline52Most likely outcome
Performance46Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor45Lower-end outcome
Baseline52Most likely outcome
Ceiling59High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
46Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.656 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact18.3% KStrong contact signal
On-base foundation.288 OBPOn-base output is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid64How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh17Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection34.9
Projected Range18–52
Arrival Probability29%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationBoston Red Sox
LevelAA
PositionSS
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 53 Latest recorded 52
57 52.5 48 2026-09-02 · Median 53 2026-09-03 · Median 53 2026-09-05 · Median 53 2026-09-06 · Median 53 2026-09-09 · Median 52 2026-09-14 · Median 52.2 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 52 2026-09-21 · Median 52 2026-09-22 · Median 52 2026-09-24 · Median 52 2026-09-25 · Median 52 2026-09-29 · Median 52 2026-09-30 · Median 52 2026-10-03 · Median 52 2026-10-04 · Median 52 2026-10-05 · Median 52 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0552
2026-10-0452
2026-10-0352
2026-09-3052
2026-09-2952
2026-09-2552
2026-09-2452
2026-09-2252
2026-09-2152
2026-09-1952
2026-09-1852
2026-09-1752
2026-09-1652
2026-09-1552
2026-09-1452.2
2026-09-0952
2026-09-0653
2026-09-0553
2026-09-0353
2026-09-0253