Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Mathias LaCombe

CWS · AAA · P · Age 24

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score70.3#191 Overall
Baseline66Most likely outcome
Performance64Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor62Lower-end outcome
Baseline66Most likely outcome
Ceiling71High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
64Solid current performance
Miss ability12.2 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command4.6 BB/9Command risk
Contact management0.5 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Fastball55
Slider55
Control45

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh91How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh10Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection51.0
Projected Range26–76
Arrival Probability37%
Productive Role Probability8%
Player Background
OrganizationChicago White Sox
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 55 Latest recorded 66
73 62 51 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 61 2026-09-14 · Median 61.4 2026-09-15 · Median 61 2026-09-16 · Median 61 2026-09-17 · Median 61 2026-09-18 · Median 61 2026-09-19 · Median 69 2026-09-21 · Median 66 2026-09-22 · Median 66 2026-09-24 · Median 66 2026-09-25 · Median 66 2026-09-29 · Median 66 2026-09-30 · Median 66 2026-10-03 · Median 66 2026-10-04 · Median 66 2026-10-05 · Median 66 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 66

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
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