Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Mathieu Curtis

ATL · High-A · P · Age 22

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score68.0#256 Overall
Baseline64Most likely outcome
Performance67Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor58Lower-end outcome
Baseline64Most likely outcome
Ceiling71High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
67Solid current performance
Miss ability11.0 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Dominance20.5% K-BBStrong strikeout-to-walk foundation
Contact management0.3 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid60How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection55.7
Projected Range31–81
Arrival Probability23%
Productive Role Probability3%
Player Background
OrganizationAtlanta Braves
LevelHigh-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 60 Latest recorded 64
69 62.5 56 2026-09-02 · Median 60 2026-09-03 · Median 60 2026-09-05 · Median 61 2026-09-06 · Median 61 2026-09-09 · Median 65 2026-09-14 · Median 64.5 2026-09-15 · Median 65 2026-09-16 · Median 65 2026-09-17 · Median 65 2026-09-18 · Median 64 2026-09-19 · Median 64 2026-09-21 · Median 64 2026-09-22 · Median 64 2026-09-24 · Median 64 2026-09-25 · Median 64 2026-09-29 · Median 64 2026-09-30 · Median 64 2026-10-03 · Median 64 2026-10-04 · Median 64 2026-10-05 · Median 64 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 64

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0564
2026-10-0464
2026-10-0364
2026-09-3064
2026-09-2964
2026-09-2564
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2026-09-2164
2026-09-1964
2026-09-1864
2026-09-1765
2026-09-1665
2026-09-1565
2026-09-1464.5
2026-09-0965
2026-09-0661
2026-09-0561
2026-09-0360
2026-09-0260