Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Matthew Fisher

PHI · Single-A · P

Philadelphia Phillies · Age at assessment: 20.5 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Command results ahead of the tool grade

Current strike throwing is outperforming the verified command expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#424
Prospect Score64
Median58
Performance55
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Command 50; command evidence sits near the 73th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 3.8

What could change the read

  • A 10.9 K/9 shows the stuff is still missing bats

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+14.5 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 73
Command+23.3 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 73

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 39 Latest recorded 58
62 48.5 35 2026-06-04 · Median 39 2026-06-05 · Median 39 2026-06-06 · Median 39 2026-06-07 · Median 39 2026-06-08 · Median 39 2026-06-09 · Median 39 2026-06-10 · Median 39 2026-06-11 · Median 42 2026-06-12 · Median 42 2026-06-13 · Median 42 2026-06-14 · Median 41 2026-06-15 · Median 41 2026-06-16 · Median 41 2026-06-17 · Median 41 2026-06-18 · Median 41 2026-06-19 · Median 41 2026-06-20 · Median 41 2026-06-21 · Median 41 2026-06-22 · Median 41 2026-06-23 · Median 41 2026-06-24 · Median 41 2026-06-25 · Median 52 2026-06-26 · Median 52 2026-06-28 · Median 52 2026-06-29 · Median 52 2026-06-30 · Median 52 2026-07-01 · Median 52 2026-07-03 · Median 54 2026-07-05 · Median 53 2026-07-07 · Median 53 2026-07-09 · Median 53 2026-07-11 · Median 53 2026-07-12 · Median 53 2026-07-14 · Median 53 2026-07-16 · Median 53 2026-07-21 · Median 53 2026-07-22 · Median 53 2026-07-23 · Median 53 2026-07-24 · Median 53 2026-07-25 · Median 53 2026-07-26 · Median 53 2026-07-27 · Median 53 2026-07-28 · Median 53 2026-07-29 · Median 53 2026-07-30 · Median 53 2026-07-31 · Median 53 2026-08-01 · Median 53 2026-08-03 · Median 53 2026-08-05 · Median 53 2026-08-07 · Median 53 2026-08-08 · Median 53 2026-08-09 · Median 53 2026-08-10 · Median 53 2026-08-11 · Median 53 2026-08-13 · Median 53 2026-08-14 · Median 53 2026-08-16 · Median 53 2026-08-17 · Median 53 2026-08-18 · Median 53 2026-08-19 · Median 53 2026-08-20 · Median 53 2026-08-22 · Median 53 2026-08-23 · Median 53.1 2026-08-25 · Median 53.1 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 55 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 57 2026-09-14 · Median 57.5 2026-09-15 · Median 58 2026-09-16 · Median 58 2026-09-17 · Median 58 2026-09-18 · Median 58 2026-09-19 · Median 58 2026-09-21 · Median 58 2026-09-22 · Median 58 2026-09-24 · Median 58 2026-09-25 · Median 58 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2558
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Metrics to follow

BB/9 3.8

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 1.30

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 17.6%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G15
IP49.2
ERA4.17
WHIP1.29
K/910.9
BB/93.8
K-BB%17.6%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
535862
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 55

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence88
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production51.7
Historical 80% error band27–77
MLB arrival in 3 years7%
Productive MLB role in 3 years1%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball55Avg
Slider icon
Slider55Avg
Curveball icon
Curveball55Avg
Changeup icon
Changeup50Avg
Command icon
Control50Avg
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderCurveballChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Pitch Mix

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Clearwater ThreshersSingle-A213.8298033.0301414412381.2710.36
2026FCL PhilliesFCL014.8666016.21310929221.3211.88
20262 teams · TotalAll levels224.171514049.2432423621601.2910.87

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Philadelphia Phillies profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.