Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Matthew Matthijs

SEA · ACL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#5,365
Score25.1
Baseline31
Signal0.0
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline31
Ceiling43
Confidence23 Risk63 Model WatchDeveloping model read
Player profile

Matthew Matthijs

SEA · ACL · P

Seattle Mariners · Age at assessment: 22.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#5,365
Prospect Score25.1
Median31
Performance Signal0.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
203143
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal 0.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 31 Latest recorded 31
36 31.5 27 2026-08-20 · Median 31 2026-08-22 · Median 31 2026-08-23 · Median 31.3 2026-08-25 · Median 31.3 2026-08-27 · Median 31 2026-08-28 · Median 31 2026-09-01 · Median 31 2026-09-02 · Median 31 2026-09-03 · Median 31 2026-09-05 · Median 31 2026-09-06 · Median 31 2026-09-09 · Median 31 2026-09-14 · Median 31.3 2026-09-15 · Median 31 2026-09-16 · Median 31 2026-09-17 · Median 31 2026-09-18 · Median 31 2026-09-19 · Median 31 2026-09-21 · Median 31 2026-09-22 · Median 31 2026-09-24 · Median 31 2026-09-25 · Median 31 2026-09-29 · Median 31 2026-09-30 · Median 31 2026-10-03 · Median 31 2026-10-04 · Median 31 2026-08-20 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 31

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0431
2026-10-0331
2026-09-3031
2026-09-2931
2026-09-2531
2026-09-2431
2026-09-2231
2026-09-2131
2026-09-1931
2026-09-1831
2026-09-1731
2026-09-1631
2026-09-1531
2026-09-1431.3
2026-09-0931
2026-09-0631
2026-09-0531
2026-09-0331
2026-09-0231
2026-09-0131
2026-08-2831
2026-08-2731
2026-08-2531.3
2026-08-2331.3
2026-08-2231
2026-08-2031

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 23
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 63
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
203143
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal 0.0

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 63
Model WatchDeveloping model read
Confidence23
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.