Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Matthew Potok

PHI · FCL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#5,635
Score23.4
Baseline29
Signal0.0
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline29
Ceiling42
Confidence22 Risk63 Model WatchDeveloping model read
Player profile

Matthew Potok

PHI · FCL · P

Philadelphia Phillies · Age at assessment: 23.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#5,635
Prospect Score23.4
Median29
Performance Signal0.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
202942
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal 0.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 28 Latest recorded 29
33 28.5 24 2026-08-27 · Median 28 2026-08-28 · Median 28 2026-09-01 · Median 28 2026-09-02 · Median 28 2026-09-03 · Median 28 2026-09-05 · Median 28 2026-09-06 · Median 28 2026-09-09 · Median 28.1 2026-09-14 · Median 28.1 2026-09-15 · Median 28 2026-09-16 · Median 28 2026-09-17 · Median 28 2026-09-18 · Median 28 2026-09-19 · Median 28 2026-09-21 · Median 28 2026-09-22 · Median 28 2026-09-24 · Median 29 2026-09-25 · Median 29 2026-09-29 · Median 29 2026-09-30 · Median 29 2026-10-03 · Median 29 2026-10-04 · Median 29 2026-08-27 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 29

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0429
2026-10-0329
2026-09-3029
2026-09-2929
2026-09-2529
2026-09-2429
2026-09-2228
2026-09-2128
2026-09-1928
2026-09-1828
2026-09-1728
2026-09-1628
2026-09-1528
2026-09-1428.1
2026-09-0928.1
2026-09-0628
2026-09-0528
2026-09-0328
2026-09-0228
2026-09-0128
2026-08-2828
2026-08-2728

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 22
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 63
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
202942
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal 0.0

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 63
Model WatchDeveloping model read
Confidence22
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.