Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Max Alba

DET · AA · P · Age 27

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score26.4#5,155 Overall
Baseline28Most likely outcome
Performance33Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor21Lower-end outcome
Baseline28Most likely outcome
Ceiling37High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
33Developing performance profile
Miss ability7.5 K/9Near expected range
Dominance11.6% K-BBBalanced strikeout-to-walk signal
Contact management1.9 HR/9Home-run contact is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid59How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid33Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection43.1
Projected Range20–66
Arrival Probability8%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationDetroit Tigers
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 27 Latest recorded 28
32 27 22 2026-09-02 · Median 27 2026-09-03 · Median 26 2026-09-05 · Median 26 2026-09-06 · Median 26 2026-09-09 · Median 28 2026-09-14 · Median 27.6 2026-09-15 · Median 28 2026-09-16 · Median 28 2026-09-17 · Median 28 2026-09-18 · Median 28 2026-09-19 · Median 28 2026-09-21 · Median 28 2026-09-22 · Median 28 2026-09-24 · Median 28 2026-09-25 · Median 28 2026-09-29 · Median 28 2026-09-30 · Median 28 2026-10-03 · Median 28 2026-10-04 · Median 28 2026-10-05 · Median 28 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 28

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0528
2026-10-0428
2026-10-0328
2026-09-3028
2026-09-2928
2026-09-2528
2026-09-2428
2026-09-2228
2026-09-2128
2026-09-1928
2026-09-1828
2026-09-1728
2026-09-1628
2026-09-1528
2026-09-1427.6
2026-09-0928
2026-09-0626
2026-09-0526
2026-09-0326
2026-09-0227