Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Maximin Medina

WSH · FCL · P · Age 19

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score50.3#1,658 Overall
Baseline49Most likely outcome
Performance52Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor39Lower-end outcome
Baseline49Most likely outcome
Ceiling59High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
52Developing performance profile
Miss ability8.9 K/9Near expected range
Command2.7 BB/9Near expected range
Contact management0.0 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping46How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid32Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection52.7
Projected Range28–78
Arrival Probability1%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationWashington Nationals
LevelFCL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 48 Latest recorded 49
54 49 44 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 49 2026-09-14 · Median 49.1 2026-09-15 · Median 49 2026-09-16 · Median 49 2026-09-17 · Median 49 2026-09-18 · Median 49 2026-09-19 · Median 49 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 49 2026-09-24 · Median 49 2026-09-25 · Median 49 2026-09-29 · Median 49 2026-09-30 · Median 49 2026-10-03 · Median 49 2026-10-04 · Median 49 2026-10-05 · Median 49 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0549
2026-10-0449
2026-10-0349
2026-09-3049
2026-09-2949
2026-09-2549
2026-09-2449
2026-09-2249
2026-09-2149
2026-09-1949
2026-09-1849
2026-09-1749
2026-09-1649
2026-09-1549
2026-09-1449.1
2026-09-0949
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0248