Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Merit Jones

MIN · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,528
Score51.4
Baseline48
Signal-1.3
Trend0.0
Floor41
Baseline48
Ceiling56
Confidence58 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Merit Jones

MIN · High-A · P

Minnesota Twins · Age at assessment: 23.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,528
Prospect Score51.4
Median48
Performance Signal-1.3
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
414856
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 35 Latest recorded 48
53 42 31 2026-08-16 · Median 35 2026-08-17 · Median 35 2026-08-18 · Median 35 2026-08-19 · Median 35 2026-08-20 · Median 42 2026-08-22 · Median 42 2026-08-23 · Median 44 2026-08-25 · Median 44 2026-08-27 · Median 44 2026-08-28 · Median 44 2026-09-01 · Median 38 2026-09-02 · Median 38 2026-09-03 · Median 38 2026-09-05 · Median 38 2026-09-06 · Median 38 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 48.4 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-10-04 · Median 48 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0448
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1448.4
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0638
2026-09-0538
2026-09-0338
2026-09-0238
2026-09-0138
2026-08-2844
2026-08-2744
2026-08-2544
2026-08-2344
2026-08-2242
2026-08-2042
2026-08-1935
2026-08-1835
2026-08-1735
2026-08-1635

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 58
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
414856
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.3

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence58
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection47.8
Projected range27–69
Arrival probability24%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.