Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 12, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Micah Ashman

BAL · AA · P

Prospect Baseline Rank #80

Player Assessment

Current model read

Performance Grade of 74 supports the current evaluation.

Prospect Score & Development

62/100

Solid composite evaluation

Baseline

74/100

Central modeled outcome; separate from Prospect Score.

Confidence

80/100

High confidence

Evidence strength, separate from model risk.

Performance context

Model-derived assessment
74/100

Solid current production

K/9
Miss ability14.4 K/9Strong strikeout signal
K-BB%
Dominance31.9% K-BBStrong strikeout-to-walk foundation
HR/9
Contact management0.5 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scouting scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Supporting Evidence and What to Watch

Current model assessment

Supporting Evidence

Baseline is 74, between a 68 Floor and 77 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The narrow range reflects a more contained model outlook.

What to Watch

Track the next performance update and level assignment.

Model factors and risk context
Model Risk Index0
Age to level45
Track record77
Data quality90

Risk, age-to-level, track record and data quality are separate model fields. A missing value is not zero.

Projected Outcome Range

Floor 68Baseline 74Ceiling 77

These are modeled outcome bands on the Prospect Baseline 0–100 scale, not guaranteed MLB outcomes.

Forecast

Statistical projections

No statistical forecast is published for this player. The current profile data does not include a documented rate forecast method, target population, or validation results.

Development Trajectory

Recorded Baseline assessments

Latest recorded Baseline: 74 on · Current Floor 68, Baseline 74, Ceiling 77

Recorded history Current Floor–Ceiling range

The chart connects recorded points only within the same model version and starts a new segment across gaps longer than 120 days. Routine point markers are suppressed; changes of 8 or more Baseline points are marked. The vertical whisker shows the current range and Baseline.

View recorded values
DateBaselineModel version
2026-10-1274pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0974pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0874pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0772pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0572pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0472pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0372pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-3072pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2972pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2572pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2472pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2272pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2172pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1972pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1872pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1772pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1672pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1572pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1472pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-0972pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-0673pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-0573pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-0373pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-0274pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-0174pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-2874pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-2774pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-2574pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-08-2374pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-2274pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-2075pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1975pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1875pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1775pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1675pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1473pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1373pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1173pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1073pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-0973pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-0873pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-0773pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-0573pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-0373pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-0173pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-3173pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-3073pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2973pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2873pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2773pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2673pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2573pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2473pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2374pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2274pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2174pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-1672pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-1472pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-1271pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-1171pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0972pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0772pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0572pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0372pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0172pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-3072pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2972pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2872pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2671pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2571pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2471pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2369pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2269pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2169pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2069pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1967pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1867pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1767pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1666pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1566pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1466pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1366pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1266pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1165pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1053pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0953pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0853pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0753pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0653pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0553pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0453pbm_145fdb152195dbe4

Development Outlook

Upside and risk

↑ Upside

The current Ceiling of 77 is 3 points above the Baseline. This is an outcome range, not a timed forecast.

⚑ Risk Factors

Model Risk Index: 0/100. This is a model measure, not a statement of real-world risk. Model confidence is 80/100 and is measured separately. Data quality and developmental uncertainty are also distinct.

Projection updated October 12, 2026 · Methodology

Projected Outcome Range Guide

How the Prospect Baseline outcome scale maps to player outcome tiers. The separate scouting bars use the traditional 20–80 scale.

Fringe<40
Developing40–59
Solid60–69
Above average70–79
Impact80–89
Generational90–100

Floor, Baseline, and Ceiling describe the current range of modeled outcomes. They are not guaranteed results or dates.