Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Micah Bucknam

TOR · FCL · P · Age 23

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score28.8#4,771 Overall
Baseline32Most likely outcome
Performance44Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline32Most likely outcome
Ceiling44High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
44Developing performance profile
Balanced Performance Profile

No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Fastball50
Slider60
Curveball55
Changeup45
Control45

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-21

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid62How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited76Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationToronto Blue Jays
LevelFCL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 26 Latest recorded 32 Change +6.1
36 28.5 21 2026-09-02 · Median 25.9 2026-09-03 · Median 25.9 2026-09-05 · Median 25.9 2026-09-06 · Median 25.9 2026-09-09 · Median 25.9 2026-09-14 · Median 25.9 2026-09-15 · Median 25.9 2026-09-16 · Median 26 2026-09-17 · Median 26 2026-09-18 · Median 26 2026-09-19 · Median 26 2026-09-21 · Median 32 2026-09-22 · Median 32 2026-09-24 · Median 32 2026-09-25 · Median 32 2026-09-29 · Median 32 2026-09-30 · Median 32 2026-10-03 · Median 32 2026-10-04 · Median 32 2026-10-05 · Median 32 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 32

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0532
2026-10-0432
2026-10-0332
2026-09-3032
2026-09-2932
2026-09-2532
2026-09-2432
2026-09-2232
2026-09-2132
2026-09-1926
2026-09-1826
2026-09-1726
2026-09-1626
2026-09-1525.9
2026-09-1425.9
2026-09-0925.9
2026-09-0625.9
2026-09-0525.9
2026-09-0325.9
2026-09-0225.9