Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Michael Gupton

CHC · AA · CF

Chicago Cubs · Age at assessment: 22.9 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.

PB Rank#815
Prospect Score58.4
Median60
Performance Signal+6.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
506072
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +6.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 30 Latest recorded 60
64 41 18 2026-08-20 · Median 30 2026-08-22 · Median 30 2026-08-23 · Median 29.6 2026-08-25 · Median 29.6 2026-08-27 · Median 29 2026-08-28 · Median 29 2026-09-01 · Median 22.3 2026-09-02 · Median 22.3 2026-09-03 · Median 34 2026-09-05 · Median 34 2026-09-06 · Median 34 2026-09-09 · Median 54 2026-09-14 · Median 50.3 2026-09-15 · Median 60 2026-09-16 · Median 60 2026-09-17 · Median 60 2026-09-18 · Median 60 2026-09-19 · Median 60 2026-09-21 · Median 60 2026-09-22 · Median 60 2026-09-24 · Median 60 2026-09-25 · Median 60 2026-09-29 · Median 60 2026-09-30 · Median 60 2026-10-03 · Median 60 2026-08-20 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 60

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0360
2026-09-3060
2026-09-2960
2026-09-2560
2026-09-2460
2026-09-2260
2026-09-2160
2026-09-1960
2026-09-1860
2026-09-1760
2026-09-1660
2026-09-1560
2026-09-1450.3
2026-09-0954
2026-09-0634
2026-09-0534
2026-09-0334
2026-09-0222.3
2026-09-0122.3
2026-08-2829
2026-08-2729
2026-08-2529.6
2026-08-2329.6
2026-08-2230
2026-08-2030

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 37
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 30
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
506072
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +6.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 30
Model WatchDeveloping model read
Confidence37
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.