Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Michael Hilker

MIN · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#624
Score60.8
Baseline57
Signal+12.2
Trend0.0
Floor50
Baseline57
Ceiling64
Confidence60 Risk0 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Michael Hilker

MIN · High-A · P

Minnesota Twins · Age at assessment: 22.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#624
Prospect Score60.8
Median57
Performance Signal+12.2
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
505764
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +12.2

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 57
61 47 33 2026-08-16 · Median 50 2026-08-17 · Median 50 2026-08-18 · Median 50 2026-08-19 · Median 37 2026-08-20 · Median 46 2026-08-22 · Median 46 2026-08-23 · Median 45.7 2026-08-25 · Median 45.7 2026-08-27 · Median 45 2026-08-28 · Median 45 2026-09-01 · Median 50 2026-09-02 · Median 50 2026-09-03 · Median 50 2026-09-05 · Median 50 2026-09-06 · Median 50 2026-09-09 · Median 57 2026-09-14 · Median 56.8 2026-09-15 · Median 57 2026-09-16 · Median 57 2026-09-17 · Median 57 2026-09-18 · Median 57 2026-09-19 · Median 57 2026-09-21 · Median 57 2026-09-22 · Median 57 2026-09-24 · Median 57 2026-09-25 · Median 57 2026-09-29 · Median 57 2026-09-30 · Median 57 2026-10-03 · Median 57 2026-10-04 · Median 57 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 57

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0457
2026-10-0357
2026-09-3057
2026-09-2957
2026-09-2557
2026-09-2457
2026-09-2257
2026-09-2157
2026-09-1957
2026-09-1857
2026-09-1757
2026-09-1657
2026-09-1557
2026-09-1456.8
2026-09-0957
2026-09-0650
2026-09-0550
2026-09-0350
2026-09-0250
2026-09-0150
2026-08-2845
2026-08-2745
2026-08-2545.7
2026-08-2345.7
2026-08-2246
2026-08-2046
2026-08-1937
2026-08-1850
2026-08-1750
2026-08-1650

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
505764
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +12.2

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection50.5
Projected range26–75
Arrival probability19%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.