Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Michael Lombardi

KC · Single-A · P Development List

Kansas City Royals · Age at assessment: 23 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Dominance ahead of the tool grades

Current strikeout and K-BB results are outperforming the verified pitch-quality expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#1,141
Prospect Score55
Median54
Performance49
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Best pitch grade 60; dominance evidence sits near the 85th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • K/9 is 12.7

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+18.5 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 85
Command+13.9 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 56

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 52 Latest recorded 54
58 50.5 43 2026-06-04 · Median 52 2026-06-05 · Median 52 2026-06-06 · Median 52 2026-06-07 · Median 50 2026-06-08 · Median 50 2026-06-09 · Median 50 2026-06-10 · Median 50 2026-06-11 · Median 50 2026-06-12 · Median 50 2026-06-13 · Median 48 2026-06-14 · Median 48 2026-06-15 · Median 48 2026-06-16 · Median 48 2026-06-17 · Median 48 2026-06-18 · Median 48 2026-06-19 · Median 48 2026-06-20 · Median 48 2026-06-21 · Median 48 2026-06-22 · Median 49 2026-06-23 · Median 49 2026-06-24 · Median 49 2026-06-25 · Median 49 2026-06-26 · Median 49 2026-06-28 · Median 49 2026-06-29 · Median 49 2026-06-30 · Median 49 2026-07-01 · Median 48 2026-07-03 · Median 52 2026-07-05 · Median 52 2026-07-07 · Median 52 2026-07-09 · Median 52 2026-07-11 · Median 49 2026-07-12 · Median 49 2026-07-14 · Median 50 2026-07-16 · Median 50 2026-07-21 · Median 48 2026-07-22 · Median 48 2026-07-23 · Median 48 2026-07-24 · Median 48 2026-07-25 · Median 48 2026-07-26 · Median 47 2026-07-27 · Median 47 2026-07-28 · Median 47 2026-07-29 · Median 47 2026-07-30 · Median 47 2026-07-31 · Median 47 2026-08-01 · Median 47 2026-08-03 · Median 47 2026-08-05 · Median 47 2026-08-07 · Median 48 2026-08-08 · Median 48 2026-08-09 · Median 48 2026-08-10 · Median 48 2026-08-11 · Median 48 2026-08-13 · Median 48 2026-08-14 · Median 48 2026-08-16 · Median 48 2026-08-17 · Median 48 2026-08-18 · Median 48 2026-08-19 · Median 49 2026-08-20 · Median 49 2026-08-22 · Median 49 2026-08-23 · Median 48.8 2026-08-25 · Median 48.8 2026-08-27 · Median 54 2026-08-28 · Median 54 2026-09-01 · Median 54 2026-09-02 · Median 54 2026-09-03 · Median 53 2026-09-05 · Median 53 2026-09-06 · Median 53 2026-09-09 · Median 54 2026-09-14 · Median 53.5 2026-09-15 · Median 54 2026-09-16 · Median 54 2026-09-17 · Median 54 2026-09-18 · Median 54 2026-09-19 · Median 54 2026-09-21 · Median 54 2026-09-22 · Median 54 2026-09-24 · Median 54 2026-09-25 · Median 54 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 54

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
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DateMedian
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Metrics to follow

K/9 12.7

Primary bat-missing indicator

Definition

Strikeouts recorded per nine innings pitched

K-BB% 18.7%

Separates dominance from walk cost

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

BB/9 5.3

Shows whether control is limiting the arsenal

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

Next checkpointRecheck K/9, K-BB%, and BB/9 after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G23
IP88.0
ERA3.68
WHIP1.42
K/912.7
BB/95.3
K-BB%18.7%

Columbia Fireflies · Single-A · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
485459
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 49

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 26
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence87
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production52.2
Historical 80% error band31–73
MLB arrival in 3 years21%
Productive MLB role in 3 years2%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball60Above Avg
Slider icon
Slider45Fringe
Curveball icon
Curveball65Plus
Changeup icon
Changeup45Fringe
Command icon
Control45Fringe
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderCurveballChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Curveball-Driven

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels000.001102.01000221.509.00
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Columbia FirefliesSingle-A243.682318088.07341369521241.4212.68

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Kansas City Royals profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.