Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Michael Oliveto

DET · Single-A · C · Age 20

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score66.0#338 Overall
Baseline60Most likely outcome
Performance57Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor55Lower-end outcome
Baseline60Most likely outcome
Ceiling65High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
57Solid current performance
Offensive impact.804 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact17.1% KStrong contact signal
Approach15.3% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall45
Hit45
Power50
Run40
Field50
Arm45

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh87How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh3Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection43.7
Projected Range25–62
Arrival Probability5%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationDetroit Tigers
LevelSingle-A
PositionC
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 58 Latest recorded 60
65 59.5 54 2026-09-02 · Median 58 2026-09-03 · Median 58 2026-09-05 · Median 58 2026-09-06 · Median 58 2026-09-09 · Median 61 2026-09-14 · Median 60.8 2026-09-15 · Median 61 2026-09-16 · Median 61 2026-09-17 · Median 61 2026-09-18 · Median 61 2026-09-19 · Median 61 2026-09-21 · Median 61 2026-09-22 · Median 61 2026-09-24 · Median 61 2026-09-25 · Median 61 2026-09-29 · Median 60 2026-09-30 · Median 60 2026-10-03 · Median 60 2026-10-04 · Median 60 2026-10-05 · Median 60 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 60

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0560
2026-10-0460
2026-10-0360
2026-09-3060
2026-09-2960
2026-09-2561
2026-09-2461
2026-09-2261
2026-09-2161
2026-09-1961
2026-09-1861
2026-09-1761
2026-09-1661
2026-09-1561
2026-09-1460.8
2026-09-0961
2026-09-0658
2026-09-0558
2026-09-0358
2026-09-0258