Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Michael Oliveto

DET · Single-A · C

Detroit Tigers · Age at assessment: 19.6 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Contact results ahead of the tool grade

Current contact and on-base results are outperforming the verified hit-tool expectation

High Confidence · 96%
PB Rank#320
Prospect Score66
Median61
Performance58
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Hit 45; contact evidence sits near the 81th percentile for comparable players
  • K% is 17.1%

What could change the read

  • A 15.3% walk rate provides meaningful approach support
  • A 0.394 OBP is keeping the offensive foundation intact

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+38.9 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 81
Game Power+2.8 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 53

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 36 Latest recorded 61
65 48.5 32 2026-06-25 · Median 36 2026-06-26 · Median 36 2026-06-28 · Median 36 2026-06-29 · Median 36 2026-06-30 · Median 36 2026-07-01 · Median 36 2026-07-03 · Median 36 2026-07-05 · Median 40 2026-07-07 · Median 40 2026-07-09 · Median 40 2026-07-11 · Median 40 2026-07-12 · Median 40 2026-07-14 · Median 40 2026-07-16 · Median 40 2026-07-21 · Median 44 2026-07-22 · Median 44 2026-07-23 · Median 44 2026-07-24 · Median 42 2026-07-25 · Median 45 2026-07-26 · Median 45 2026-07-27 · Median 45 2026-07-28 · Median 45 2026-07-29 · Median 45 2026-07-30 · Median 45 2026-07-31 · Median 45 2026-08-01 · Median 45 2026-08-03 · Median 45 2026-08-05 · Median 45 2026-08-07 · Median 45 2026-08-08 · Median 45 2026-08-09 · Median 45 2026-08-10 · Median 45 2026-08-11 · Median 45 2026-08-13 · Median 45 2026-08-14 · Median 45 2026-08-16 · Median 45 2026-08-17 · Median 45 2026-08-18 · Median 45 2026-08-19 · Median 45 2026-08-20 · Median 59 2026-08-22 · Median 59 2026-08-23 · Median 58.1 2026-08-25 · Median 58.1 2026-08-27 · Median 58 2026-08-28 · Median 58 2026-09-01 · Median 58 2026-09-02 · Median 58 2026-09-03 · Median 58 2026-09-05 · Median 58 2026-09-06 · Median 58 2026-09-09 · Median 61 2026-09-14 · Median 60.8 2026-09-15 · Median 61 2026-09-16 · Median 61 2026-09-17 · Median 61 2026-09-18 · Median 61 2026-09-19 · Median 61 2026-09-21 · Median 61 2026-09-22 · Median 61 2026-09-24 · Median 61 2026-06-25 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 61

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2461
2026-09-2261
2026-09-2161
2026-09-1961
2026-09-1861
2026-09-1761
2026-09-1661
2026-09-1561
2026-09-1460.8
2026-09-0961
2026-09-0658
2026-09-0558
2026-09-0358
2026-09-0258
2026-09-0158
2026-08-2858
2026-08-2758
2026-08-2558.1
2026-08-2358.1
2026-08-2259
2026-08-2059
2026-08-1945
2026-08-1845
2026-08-1745
2026-08-1645
2026-08-1445
2026-08-1345
2026-08-1145
2026-08-1045
2026-08-0945
2026-08-0845
2026-08-0745
2026-08-0545
2026-08-0345
2026-08-0145
2026-07-3145
2026-07-3045
2026-07-2945
2026-07-2845
2026-07-2745
2026-07-2645
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2026-07-2442
2026-07-2344
2026-07-2244
2026-07-2144
2026-07-1640
2026-07-1440
2026-07-1240
2026-07-1140
2026-07-0940
2026-07-0740
2026-07-0540
2026-07-0336
2026-07-0136
2026-06-3036
2026-06-2936
2026-06-2836
2026-06-2636
2026-06-2536

Metrics to follow

K% 17.1%

Primary contact-pressure indicator

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

BB% 15.3%

Shows whether patience offsets swing-and-miss

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a walk

OBP 0.394

Tracks the overall on-base foundation

Definition

On-base percentage, measuring how often a hitter reaches base

Next checkpointRecheck K%, BB%, and OBP after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G44
PA170
AVG.285
OBP.394
SLG.410
OPS.804
HR2
SB0
BB%15.3%
K%17.1%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
566166
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 58

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 3
MLB / Model Watch65 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence87
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production43.7
Historical 80% error band25–62
MLB arrival in 3 years5%
Productive MLB role in 3 years1%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit45Fringe
Power icon
Power50Avg
Speed icon
Speed40Developmental
Defense icon
Defense50Avg
Arm icon
Arm45Fringe
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels72422681005250.364.417.409.826
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Lakeland Flying TigersSingle-A22877512246011212170.320.414.440.854
2026FCL TigersFCL228369717411914120.246.373.377.750
20262 teams · TotalAll levels44170144194110122126290.285.394.410.804

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Detroit Tigers profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.