Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Michael Trausch

TEX · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#1,768
Score49.3
Baseline48
Signal+11.4
Trend0.0
Floor40
Baseline48
Ceiling55
Confidence58 Risk26 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Michael Trausch

TEX · Single-A · P

Texas Rangers · Age at assessment: 22.6 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#1,768
Prospect Score49.3
Median48
Performance Signal+11.4
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
404855
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +11.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 48 Latest recorded 48
53 48 43 2026-08-16 · Median 48 2026-08-17 · Median 48 2026-08-18 · Median 48 2026-08-19 · Median 49 2026-08-20 · Median 49 2026-08-22 · Median 49 2026-08-23 · Median 48.3 2026-08-25 · Median 48.3 2026-08-27 · Median 48 2026-08-28 · Median 48 2026-09-01 · Median 48 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 47.5 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-10-04 · Median 48 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0448
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1447.5
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0248
2026-09-0148
2026-08-2848
2026-08-2748
2026-08-2548.3
2026-08-2348.3
2026-08-2249
2026-08-2049
2026-08-1949
2026-08-1848
2026-08-1748
2026-08-1648

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 58
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 26
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
404855
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +11.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 26
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence58
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection44.5
Projected range20–69
Arrival probability10%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.