Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Michael Trautwein

CIN · AAA · C

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#4,770
Score28.8
Baseline32
Signal-6.0
Trend-2.4
Floor22
Baseline32
Ceiling41
Confidence47 Risk47 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Michael Trautwein

CIN · AAA · C

Cincinnati Reds · Age at assessment: 27.1 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#4,770
Prospect Score28.8
Median32
Performance Signal-6.0
Trend-2.4

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-2.4
223241
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 25 Latest recorded 32
37 27.5 18 2026-08-16 · Median 25 2026-08-17 · Median 25 2026-08-18 · Median 25 2026-08-19 · Median 25 2026-08-20 · Median 25 2026-08-22 · Median 25 2026-08-23 · Median 24.5 2026-08-25 · Median 24.5 2026-08-27 · Median 23.1 2026-08-28 · Median 23.1 2026-09-01 · Median 23.1 2026-09-02 · Median 23.1 2026-09-03 · Median 22.6 2026-09-05 · Median 22.6 2026-09-06 · Median 22.6 2026-09-09 · Median 24.7 2026-09-14 · Median 26.4 2026-09-15 · Median 33 2026-09-16 · Median 33 2026-09-17 · Median 33 2026-09-18 · Median 33 2026-09-19 · Median 33 2026-09-21 · Median 32 2026-09-22 · Median 32 2026-09-24 · Median 32 2026-09-25 · Median 32 2026-09-29 · Median 32 2026-09-30 · Median 32 2026-10-03 · Median 32 2026-10-04 · Median 32 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 32

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0432
2026-10-0332
2026-09-3032
2026-09-2932
2026-09-2532
2026-09-2432
2026-09-2232
2026-09-2132
2026-09-1933
2026-09-1833
2026-09-1733
2026-09-1633
2026-09-1533
2026-09-1426.4
2026-09-0924.7
2026-09-0622.6
2026-09-0522.6
2026-09-0322.6
2026-09-0223.1
2026-09-0123.1
2026-08-2823.1
2026-08-2723.1
2026-08-2524.5
2026-08-2324.5
2026-08-2225
2026-08-2025
2026-08-1925
2026-08-1825
2026-08-1725
2026-08-1625

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Declining
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 47
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 47
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-2.4
223241
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.0

Profile Context

RiskMedium Risk · 47
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence47
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.