Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Michael Walsh

PIT · AAA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#835
Score58.1
Baseline55
Signal+4.9
Trend0.0
Floor49
Baseline55
Ceiling62
Confidence61 Risk11 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Michael Walsh

PIT · AAA · P

Pittsburgh Pirates · Age at assessment: 25.7 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#835
Prospect Score58.1
Median55
Performance Signal+4.9
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
495562
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.9

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 41 Latest recorded 55
60 48.5 37 2026-08-10 · Median 41 2026-08-11 · Median 41 2026-08-13 · Median 41 2026-08-14 · Median 41 2026-08-16 · Median 41 2026-08-17 · Median 41 2026-08-18 · Median 41 2026-08-19 · Median 41 2026-08-20 · Median 41 2026-08-22 · Median 41 2026-08-23 · Median 41.2 2026-08-25 · Median 41.2 2026-08-27 · Median 41 2026-08-28 · Median 41 2026-09-01 · Median 41 2026-09-02 · Median 41 2026-09-03 · Median 41 2026-09-05 · Median 41 2026-09-06 · Median 41 2026-09-09 · Median 50 2026-09-14 · Median 49 2026-09-15 · Median 49 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 55 2026-09-25 · Median 55 2026-09-29 · Median 55 2026-09-30 · Median 55 2026-10-03 · Median 55 2026-10-04 · Median 55 2026-08-10 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 55

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0455
2026-10-0355
2026-09-3055
2026-09-2955
2026-09-2555
2026-09-2455
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1549
2026-09-1449
2026-09-0950
2026-09-0641
2026-09-0541
2026-09-0341
2026-09-0241
2026-09-0141
2026-08-2841
2026-08-2741
2026-08-2541.2
2026-08-2341.2
2026-08-2241
2026-08-2041
2026-08-1941
2026-08-1841
2026-08-1741
2026-08-1641
2026-08-1441
2026-08-1341
2026-08-1141
2026-08-1041

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 11
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
495562
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.9

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 11
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection48.1
Projected range23–73
Arrival probability19%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.