Prospect Baseline Profile

Miguel Hernández

STL · Single-A · SS

Prospect Baseline Rank #74

Player Assessment

Current model read

Performance Grade of 71 supports the current evaluation; Age / Level score of 71 indicates favorable developmental context.

Prospect Score & Development

63/100

Solid composite evaluation

Baseline

78/100

Central modeled outcome; separate from Prospect Score.

Confidence

80/100

High confidence

Evidence strength, separate from model risk.

Performance context

Model-derived assessment

71/100

Solid current production

OPS

Offensive impact.966 OPSStrong overall offensive impact

Contact22.8% KNear expected range

BB%

Approach20.1% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scouting scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Supporting Evidence and What to Watch

Current model assessment

Supporting Evidence

Baseline is 78, between a 71 Floor and 81 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The range leaves room for development while keeping the central outcome in focus.

What to Watch

Track the next performance update and level assignment.

Model factors and risk context

Model Risk Index3

Age to level71

Track record72

Data quality95

Risk, age-to-level, track record and data quality are separate model fields. A missing value is not zero.

Projected Outcome Range

Floor 71Baseline 78Ceiling 81

These are modeled outcome bands on the Prospect Baseline 0–100 scale, not guaranteed MLB outcomes.

Forecast

Statistical projections

No statistical forecast is published for this player. The current profile data does not include a documented rate forecast method, target population, or validation results.

Development Trajectory

Recorded Baseline assessments

Latest recorded Baseline: 78 on 2026-10-12 · Current Floor 71, Baseline 78, Ceiling 81

Recorded history Current Floor–Ceiling range

The chart connects recorded points only within the same model version and starts a new segment across gaps longer than 120 days. Routine point markers are suppressed; changes of 8 or more Baseline points are marked. The vertical whisker shows the current range and Baseline.

View recorded values

Date	Baseline	Model version
2026-10-12	78	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-09	78	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-08	78	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-07	77	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-05	77	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-04	77	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-03	77	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-30	77	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-29	77	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-25	77	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-24	77	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-22	77	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-21	77	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-19	77	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-18	77	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-17	77	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-16	77	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-15	77	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-14	77	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-09	77	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-06	79	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-05	79	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-03	79	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-02	79	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-01	80	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-28	80	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-27	80	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-25	80	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-08-23	80	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-22	80	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-20	80	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-19	65	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-18	65	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-17	65	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-16	65	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-14	65	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-13	65	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-11	65	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-10	65	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-09	65	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-08	65	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-07	65	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-05	65	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-03	65	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-01	65	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-31	65	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-30	65	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-29	65	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-28	65	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-27	65	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-26	65	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-25	65	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-24	65	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-23	66	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-22	63	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-21	63	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-16	61	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-14	59	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-12	59	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-11	58	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-09	59	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-07	58	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-05	58	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-03	59	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-01	59	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-30	58	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-29	56	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-28	56	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-26	57	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-25	55	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-24	55	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-23	55	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-22	56	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-21	56	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-20	57	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-19	54	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-18	54	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-17	53	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-16	53	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-15	53	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-14	53	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-13	53	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-12	53	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-11	54	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-10	46	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-09	46	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-08	46	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-07	46	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-06	46	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-05	46	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-04	46	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4

Development Outlook

Upside and risk

↑ Upside

The current Ceiling of 81 is 3 points above the Baseline. This is an outcome range, not a timed forecast.

⚑ Risk Factors

Model Risk Index: 3/100. This is a model measure, not a statement of real-world risk. Model confidence is 80/100 and is measured separately. Data quality and developmental uncertainty are also distinct.