Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Miguel Mejias

NYM · Single-A · P · Age 22

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score52.0#1,419 Overall
Baseline50Most likely outcome
Performance56Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor43Lower-end outcome
Baseline50Most likely outcome
Ceiling58High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
56Solid current performance
Miss ability11.1 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command4.7 BB/9Command risk
Contact management0.4 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid58How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid28Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection47.2
Projected Range22–72
Arrival Probability6%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationNew York Mets
LevelSingle-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 50
55 50.5 46 2026-09-02 · Median 50 2026-09-03 · Median 50 2026-09-05 · Median 50 2026-09-06 · Median 50 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 50.4 2026-09-15 · Median 50 2026-09-16 · Median 50 2026-09-17 · Median 50 2026-09-18 · Median 50 2026-09-19 · Median 50 2026-09-21 · Median 50 2026-09-22 · Median 50 2026-09-24 · Median 50 2026-09-25 · Median 50 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-10-04 · Median 50 2026-10-05 · Median 50 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0550
2026-10-0450
2026-10-0351
2026-09-3051
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2026-09-1450.4
2026-09-0951
2026-09-0650
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2026-09-0350
2026-09-0250