Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Miguel Welch

BOS · DSL · SS · Age 19

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score48.8#1,825 Overall
Baseline48Most likely outcome
Performance55Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor39Lower-end outcome
Baseline48Most likely outcome
Ceiling57High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
55Solid current performance
Offensive impact.822 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact11.4% KStrong contact signal
Approach17.8% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping54How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid38Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection49.1
Projected Range31–67
Arrival Probability18%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationBoston Red Sox
LevelDSL
PositionSS
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 48 Latest recorded 48
53 48.5 44 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 48.1 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-10-04 · Median 48 2026-10-05 · Median 48 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0548
2026-10-0448
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1448.1
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0248