Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Mitch Jebb

PIT · AAA · LF

Pittsburgh Pirates · Age at assessment: 24.4 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#560
Prospect Score61.9
Median58
Performance Signal+6.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
525864
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +6.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 31 Latest recorded 58
63 45 27 2026-08-14 · Median 31 2026-08-16 · Median 31 2026-08-17 · Median 31 2026-08-18 · Median 31 2026-08-19 · Median 31 2026-08-20 · Median 56 2026-08-22 · Median 56 2026-08-23 · Median 55.6 2026-08-25 · Median 55.6 2026-08-27 · Median 56 2026-08-28 · Median 56 2026-09-01 · Median 56 2026-09-02 · Median 56 2026-09-03 · Median 56 2026-09-05 · Median 56 2026-09-06 · Median 56 2026-09-09 · Median 58 2026-09-14 · Median 58.9 2026-09-15 · Median 59 2026-09-16 · Median 59 2026-09-17 · Median 58 2026-09-18 · Median 58 2026-09-19 · Median 58 2026-09-21 · Median 58 2026-09-22 · Median 58 2026-09-24 · Median 58 2026-09-25 · Median 58 2026-09-29 · Median 58 2026-09-30 · Median 58 2026-10-03 · Median 58 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0358
2026-09-3058
2026-09-2958
2026-09-2558
2026-09-2458
2026-09-2258
2026-09-2158
2026-09-1958
2026-09-1858
2026-09-1758
2026-09-1659
2026-09-1559
2026-09-1458.9
2026-09-0958
2026-09-0656
2026-09-0556
2026-09-0356
2026-09-0256
2026-09-0156
2026-08-2856
2026-08-2756
2026-08-2555.6
2026-08-2355.6
2026-08-2256
2026-08-2056
2026-08-1931
2026-08-1831
2026-08-1731
2026-08-1631
2026-08-1431

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 64
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
525864
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +6.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence64
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection42.9
Projected range26–60
Arrival probability58%
Productive role probability6%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.