Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Mitch Mueller

MIN · AA · P

Minnesota Twins · Age at assessment: 25.0 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#762
Prospect Score59.2
Median56
Performance Signal+9.8
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
505665
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +9.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 45 Latest recorded 56
60 50.5 41 2026-08-14 · Median 45 2026-08-16 · Median 46 2026-08-17 · Median 46 2026-08-18 · Median 46 2026-08-19 · Median 46 2026-08-20 · Median 55 2026-08-22 · Median 55 2026-08-23 · Median 56 2026-08-25 · Median 56 2026-08-27 · Median 56 2026-08-28 · Median 56 2026-09-01 · Median 51 2026-09-02 · Median 51 2026-09-03 · Median 49 2026-09-05 · Median 49 2026-09-06 · Median 49 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 55.8 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 56 2026-09-29 · Median 56 2026-09-30 · Median 56 2026-10-03 · Median 56 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0356
2026-09-3056
2026-09-2956
2026-09-2556
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
2026-09-1856
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1455.8
2026-09-0956
2026-09-0649
2026-09-0549
2026-09-0349
2026-09-0251
2026-09-0151
2026-08-2856
2026-08-2756
2026-08-2556
2026-08-2356
2026-08-2255
2026-08-2055
2026-08-1946
2026-08-1846
2026-08-1746
2026-08-1646
2026-08-1445

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
505665
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +9.8

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection53.5
Projected range29–78
Arrival probability30%
Productive role probability4%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.