Player Profile
Modesto Vargas
ARI · ACL · P · Age 22
Bats R · Throws RProspect Score17.9#6,099 Overall
Baseline26Most likely outcome
Performance28Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable
Projected Outcome
Prospect Baseline model rangeFloor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline26Most likely outcome
Ceiling37High-end outcome
Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way
Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.
Performance
Selected evidence28Developing performance profile
Miss ability8.4 K/9Near expected range
Command12.0 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention2.21 WHIPElevated traffic
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleIndividual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.
Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping37How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited80Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection33.6
Projected Range9–59
Arrival Probability0%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationArizona Diamondbacks
LevelACL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 26
Latest recorded 26
Change 0.0
2026-10-05 · Median 26
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 26 |
| 2026-10-04 | 26 |
| 2026-10-03 | 26 |
| 2026-09-30 | 26 |
| 2026-09-29 | 26 |
| 2026-09-25 | 26 |
| 2026-09-24 | 26 |
| 2026-09-22 | 26 |
| 2026-09-21 | 26 |
| 2026-09-19 | 26 |
| 2026-09-18 | 26 |
| 2026-09-17 | 26 |
| 2026-09-16 | 26 |
| 2026-09-15 | 26.2 |
| 2026-09-14 | 26.5 |
| 2026-09-09 | 26.5 |
| 2026-09-06 | 26 |
| 2026-09-05 | 26 |
| 2026-09-03 | 26 |
| 2026-09-02 | 26 |