Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Moisés Chace

PHI · AA · P

Philadelphia Phillies · Age at assessment: 23.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Risk is a meaningful drag on the composite score.

PB Rank#1,510
Prospect Score51.5
Median54
Performance Signal0.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
435465
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal 0.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 48 Latest recorded 54
58 51 44 2026-08-27 · Median 48 2026-08-28 · Median 48 2026-09-01 · Median 48 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 54 2026-09-06 · Median 54 2026-09-09 · Median 54 2026-09-14 · Median 53.5 2026-09-15 · Median 54 2026-09-16 · Median 54 2026-09-17 · Median 54 2026-09-18 · Median 54 2026-09-19 · Median 54 2026-09-21 · Median 54 2026-09-22 · Median 54 2026-09-24 · Median 54 2026-09-25 · Median 54 2026-09-29 · Median 54 2026-09-30 · Median 54 2026-10-03 · Median 54 2026-08-27 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 54

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0354
2026-09-3054
2026-09-2954
2026-09-2554
2026-09-2454
2026-09-2254
2026-09-2154
2026-09-1954
2026-09-1854
2026-09-1754
2026-09-1654
2026-09-1554
2026-09-1453.5
2026-09-0954
2026-09-0654
2026-09-0554
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0248
2026-09-0148
2026-08-2848
2026-08-2748

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 75
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 66
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
435465
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal 0.0

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 66
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence75
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.