Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Nate Peterson

CIN · AA · P · Age 27

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score23.1#5,690 Overall
Baseline26Most likely outcome
Performance30Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline26Most likely outcome
Ceiling33High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
30Developing performance profile
Miss ability8.2 K/9Near expected range
Command5.3 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.56 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid60How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid45Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection34.0
Projected Range11–57
Arrival Probability12%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationCincinnati Reds
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 23 Latest recorded 26 Change +3.5
30 23.5 17 2026-09-02 · Median 22.5 2026-09-03 · Median 22.5 2026-09-05 · Median 21.7 2026-09-06 · Median 21.7 2026-09-09 · Median 25 2026-09-14 · Median 25.5 2026-09-15 · Median 26 2026-09-16 · Median 26 2026-09-17 · Median 26 2026-09-18 · Median 26 2026-09-19 · Median 26 2026-09-21 · Median 26 2026-09-22 · Median 26 2026-09-24 · Median 26 2026-09-25 · Median 26 2026-09-29 · Median 26 2026-09-30 · Median 26 2026-10-03 · Median 26 2026-10-04 · Median 26 2026-10-05 · Median 26 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 26

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0526
2026-10-0426
2026-10-0326
2026-09-3026
2026-09-2926
2026-09-2526
2026-09-2426
2026-09-2226
2026-09-2126
2026-09-1926
2026-09-1826
2026-09-1726
2026-09-1626
2026-09-1526
2026-09-1425.5
2026-09-0925
2026-09-0621.7
2026-09-0521.7
2026-09-0322.5
2026-09-0222.5