Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Nathan Humphreys

PHI · High-A · OF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,235
Score53.7
Baseline53
Signal+1.4
Trend0.0
Floor46
Baseline53
Ceiling60
Confidence60 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Nathan Humphreys

PHI · High-A · OF

Philadelphia Phillies · Age at assessment: 24.1 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,235
Prospect Score53.7
Median53
Performance Signal+1.4
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
465360
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +1.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 30 Latest recorded 53
57 41.5 26 2026-08-16 · Median 30 2026-08-17 · Median 30 2026-08-18 · Median 30 2026-08-19 · Median 30 2026-08-20 · Median 37 2026-08-22 · Median 37 2026-08-23 · Median 36.2 2026-08-25 · Median 36.2 2026-08-27 · Median 47 2026-08-28 · Median 47 2026-09-01 · Median 49 2026-09-02 · Median 49 2026-09-03 · Median 50 2026-09-05 · Median 50 2026-09-06 · Median 50 2026-09-09 · Median 53 2026-09-14 · Median 52.6 2026-09-15 · Median 53 2026-09-16 · Median 53 2026-09-17 · Median 53 2026-09-18 · Median 53 2026-09-19 · Median 53 2026-09-21 · Median 53 2026-09-22 · Median 53 2026-09-24 · Median 53 2026-09-25 · Median 53 2026-09-29 · Median 53 2026-09-30 · Median 53 2026-10-03 · Median 53 2026-10-04 · Median 53 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 53

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0453
2026-10-0353
2026-09-3053
2026-09-2953
2026-09-2553
2026-09-2453
2026-09-2253
2026-09-2153
2026-09-1953
2026-09-1853
2026-09-1753
2026-09-1653
2026-09-1553
2026-09-1452.6
2026-09-0953
2026-09-0650
2026-09-0550
2026-09-0350
2026-09-0249
2026-09-0149
2026-08-2847
2026-08-2747
2026-08-2536.2
2026-08-2336.2
2026-08-2237
2026-08-2037
2026-08-1930
2026-08-1830
2026-08-1730
2026-08-1630

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
465360
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +1.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection45.2
Projected range30–61
Arrival probability30%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.