Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Nauris De La Cruz

WSH · FCL · OF

Washington Nationals · Age at assessment: 19.1 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Results Ahead of Tools
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Contact results ahead of the tool grade

Current contact and on-base results are outperforming the verified hit-tool expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#1,248
Prospect Score54
Median49
Performance49
Trend-0.6%

Why the player is here

  • Hit 45; contact evidence sits near the 69th percentile for comparable players
  • K% is 19.7%

What could change the read

  • A 16.7% walk rate provides meaningful approach support
  • A 0.393 OBP is keeping the offensive foundation intact

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+27.2 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 69
Game Power-6.9 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 43

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 45 Latest recorded 49
54 46 38 2026-06-04 · Median 45 2026-06-05 · Median 44 2026-06-06 · Median 44 2026-06-07 · Median 42 2026-06-08 · Median 42 2026-06-09 · Median 42 2026-06-10 · Median 42 2026-06-11 · Median 43 2026-06-12 · Median 43 2026-06-13 · Median 43 2026-06-14 · Median 43 2026-06-15 · Median 43 2026-06-16 · Median 43 2026-06-17 · Median 43 2026-06-18 · Median 43 2026-06-19 · Median 43 2026-06-20 · Median 43 2026-06-21 · Median 43 2026-06-22 · Median 43 2026-06-23 · Median 43 2026-06-24 · Median 43 2026-06-25 · Median 43 2026-06-26 · Median 43 2026-06-28 · Median 43 2026-06-29 · Median 43 2026-06-30 · Median 43 2026-07-01 · Median 43 2026-07-03 · Median 45 2026-07-05 · Median 47 2026-07-07 · Median 47 2026-07-09 · Median 47 2026-07-11 · Median 47 2026-07-12 · Median 50 2026-07-14 · Median 49 2026-07-16 · Median 50 2026-07-21 · Median 50 2026-07-22 · Median 49 2026-07-23 · Median 49 2026-07-24 · Median 49 2026-07-25 · Median 49 2026-07-26 · Median 49 2026-07-27 · Median 49 2026-07-28 · Median 49 2026-07-29 · Median 49 2026-07-30 · Median 49 2026-07-31 · Median 49 2026-08-01 · Median 49 2026-08-03 · Median 49 2026-08-05 · Median 49 2026-08-07 · Median 49 2026-08-08 · Median 49 2026-08-09 · Median 49 2026-08-10 · Median 49 2026-08-11 · Median 49 2026-08-13 · Median 49 2026-08-14 · Median 49 2026-08-16 · Median 49 2026-08-17 · Median 48 2026-08-18 · Median 48 2026-08-19 · Median 48 2026-08-20 · Median 48 2026-08-22 · Median 48 2026-08-23 · Median 48.4 2026-08-25 · Median 48.4 2026-08-27 · Median 48 2026-08-28 · Median 48 2026-09-01 · Median 48 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 49 2026-09-14 · Median 49.2 2026-09-15 · Median 49 2026-09-16 · Median 49 2026-09-17 · Median 49 2026-09-18 · Median 49 2026-09-19 · Median 49 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 49 2026-09-24 · Median 49 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2449
2026-09-2249
2026-09-2149
2026-09-1949
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2026-09-1749
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2026-06-0742
2026-06-0644
2026-06-0544
2026-06-0445

Metrics to follow

K% 19.7%

Primary contact-pressure indicator

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

BB% 16.7%

Shows whether patience offsets swing-and-miss

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a walk

OBP 0.393

Tracks the overall on-base foundation

Definition

On-base percentage, measuring how often a hitter reaches base

Next checkpointRecheck K%, BB%, and OBP after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G52
PA198
AVG.261
OBP.393
SLG.350
OPS.743
HR3
SB21
BB%16.7%
K%19.7%

FCL Nationals · FCL · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range-0.6%
434955
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 49

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 29
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence86
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production42.3
Historical 80% error band24–61
MLB arrival in 3 years7%
Productive MLB role in 3 years1%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit45Fringe
Power icon
Power50Avg
Speed icon
Speed50Avg
Defense icon
Defense50Avg
Arm icon
Arm50Avg
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026FCL NationalsFCL52198157344112323333921.261.393.350.743
2025DSL NationalsDSL39143109183291220301715.294.448.450.897

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-22T00:11:19.

Checklist appearances

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Washington Nationals profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.