Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Neiker Palacios

ARI · Single-A · P

Arizona Diamondbacks · Age at assessment: 19.9 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#666
Prospect Score60.3
Median57
Performance Signal+13.4
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
505765
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +13.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 41 Latest recorded 57
61 48.5 36 2026-08-10 · Median 41 2026-08-11 · Median 41 2026-08-13 · Median 41 2026-08-14 · Median 41 2026-08-16 · Median 41 2026-08-17 · Median 41 2026-08-18 · Median 41 2026-08-19 · Median 41 2026-08-20 · Median 40.5 2026-08-27 · Median 52 2026-08-28 · Median 52 2026-09-01 · Median 52 2026-09-02 · Median 52 2026-09-03 · Median 52 2026-09-05 · Median 52 2026-09-06 · Median 52 2026-09-09 · Median 57 2026-09-14 · Median 56.2 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 57 2026-09-29 · Median 57 2026-09-30 · Median 57 2026-10-03 · Median 57 2026-08-10 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 57

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0357
2026-09-3057
2026-09-2957
2026-09-2557
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
2026-09-1856
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1456.2
2026-09-0957
2026-09-0652
2026-09-0552
2026-09-0352
2026-09-0252
2026-09-0152
2026-08-2852
2026-08-2752
2026-08-2040.5
2026-08-1941
2026-08-1841
2026-08-1741
2026-08-1641
2026-08-1441
2026-08-1341
2026-08-1141
2026-08-1041

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 51
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 3
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
505765
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +13.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 3
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence51
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection45.0
Projected range20–70
Arrival probability4%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.