Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Nestor Lorant

CIN · AA · P

Cincinnati Reds · Age at assessment: 24.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#759
Prospect Score59.2
Median58
Performance Signal+19.4
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
515866
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +19.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 63 Latest recorded 58
67 60.5 54 2026-06-20 · Median 63 2026-06-21 · Median 63 2026-06-22 · Median 63 2026-06-23 · Median 63 2026-06-24 · Median 63 2026-06-25 · Median 63 2026-08-20 · Median 62 2026-08-22 · Median 62 2026-08-23 · Median 62 2026-08-27 · Median 60 2026-08-28 · Median 60 2026-09-01 · Median 60 2026-09-02 · Median 60 2026-09-03 · Median 60 2026-09-05 · Median 60 2026-09-06 · Median 60 2026-09-09 · Median 58 2026-09-14 · Median 58.1 2026-09-15 · Median 58 2026-09-16 · Median 58 2026-09-17 · Median 58 2026-09-18 · Median 58 2026-09-19 · Median 58 2026-09-21 · Median 58 2026-09-22 · Median 58 2026-09-24 · Median 58 2026-09-25 · Median 58 2026-09-29 · Median 58 2026-09-30 · Median 58 2026-10-03 · Median 58 2026-06-20 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0358
2026-09-3058
2026-09-2958
2026-09-2558
2026-09-2458
2026-09-2258
2026-09-2158
2026-09-1958
2026-09-1858
2026-09-1758
2026-09-1658
2026-09-1558
2026-09-1458.1
2026-09-0958
2026-09-0660
2026-09-0560
2026-09-0360
2026-09-0260
2026-09-0160
2026-08-2860
2026-08-2760
2026-08-2362
2026-08-2262
2026-08-2062
2026-06-2563
2026-06-2463
2026-06-2363
2026-06-2263
2026-06-2163
2026-06-2063

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 22
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
515866
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +19.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 22
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection47.8
Projected range23–73
Arrival probability29%
Productive role probability5%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.