Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Nick Dumesnil

DET · Single-A · OF

Detroit Tigers · Age at assessment: 22.5 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,893
Prospect Score48.5
Median43
Performance Signal-3.2
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
384348
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -3.2

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 42 Latest recorded 43
47 42 37 2026-08-14 · Median 42 2026-08-16 · Median 43 2026-08-17 · Median 43 2026-08-18 · Median 43 2026-08-19 · Median 43 2026-08-20 · Median 43 2026-08-22 · Median 43 2026-08-23 · Median 42.9 2026-08-25 · Median 42.9 2026-08-27 · Median 43 2026-08-28 · Median 43 2026-09-01 · Median 43 2026-09-02 · Median 43 2026-09-03 · Median 43 2026-09-05 · Median 43 2026-09-06 · Median 43 2026-09-09 · Median 42 2026-09-14 · Median 41.8 2026-09-15 · Median 42 2026-09-16 · Median 42 2026-09-17 · Median 42 2026-09-18 · Median 42 2026-09-19 · Median 42 2026-09-21 · Median 42 2026-09-22 · Median 42 2026-09-24 · Median 43 2026-09-25 · Median 43 2026-09-29 · Median 43 2026-09-30 · Median 43 2026-10-03 · Median 43 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 43

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0343
2026-09-3043
2026-09-2943
2026-09-2543
2026-09-2443
2026-09-2242
2026-09-2142
2026-09-1942
2026-09-1842
2026-09-1742
2026-09-1642
2026-09-1542
2026-09-1441.8
2026-09-0942
2026-09-0643
2026-09-0543
2026-09-0343
2026-09-0243
2026-09-0143
2026-08-2843
2026-08-2743
2026-08-2542.9
2026-08-2342.9
2026-08-2243
2026-08-2043
2026-08-1943
2026-08-1843
2026-08-1743
2026-08-1643
2026-08-1442

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 87
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
384348
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -3.2

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence87
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection35.5
Projected range17–54
Arrival probability3%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.