Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Nick McAuliffe

MIN · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#4,428
Score31.1
Baseline32
Signal-1.1
Trend0.0
Floor23
Baseline32
Ceiling45
Confidence53 Risk45 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Nick McAuliffe

MIN · Single-A · P

Minnesota Twins · Age at assessment: 26.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#4,428
Prospect Score31.1
Median32
Performance Signal-1.1
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
233245
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 36 Latest recorded 32
40 34 28 2026-08-16 · Median 36 2026-08-17 · Median 36 2026-08-18 · Median 36 2026-08-19 · Median 36 2026-08-20 · Median 36 2026-08-22 · Median 36 2026-08-23 · Median 35.7 2026-08-25 · Median 35.7 2026-08-27 · Median 36 2026-08-28 · Median 36 2026-09-01 · Median 36 2026-09-02 · Median 36 2026-09-03 · Median 36 2026-09-05 · Median 36 2026-09-06 · Median 36 2026-09-09 · Median 32 2026-09-14 · Median 32 2026-09-15 · Median 32 2026-09-16 · Median 32 2026-09-17 · Median 32 2026-09-18 · Median 32 2026-09-19 · Median 32 2026-09-21 · Median 32 2026-09-22 · Median 32 2026-09-24 · Median 32 2026-09-25 · Median 32 2026-09-29 · Median 32 2026-09-30 · Median 32 2026-10-03 · Median 32 2026-10-04 · Median 32 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 32

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0432
2026-10-0332
2026-09-3032
2026-09-2932
2026-09-2532
2026-09-2432
2026-09-2232
2026-09-2132
2026-09-1932
2026-09-1832
2026-09-1732
2026-09-1632
2026-09-1532
2026-09-1432
2026-09-0932
2026-09-0636
2026-09-0536
2026-09-0336
2026-09-0236
2026-09-0136
2026-08-2836
2026-08-2736
2026-08-2535.7
2026-08-2335.7
2026-08-2236
2026-08-2036
2026-08-1936
2026-08-1836
2026-08-1736
2026-08-1636

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 53
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 45
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
233245
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.1

Profile Context

RiskMedium Risk · 45
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence53
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection51.9
Projected range27–77
Arrival probability9%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.