Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Nick McLain

CWS · High-A · CF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,451
Score51.8
Baseline49
Signal+6.5
Trend-0.2
Floor42
Baseline49
Ceiling56
Confidence58 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Nick McLain

CWS · High-A · CF

Chicago White Sox · Age at assessment: 23.8 · Bats: S · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,451
Prospect Score51.8
Median49
Performance Signal+6.5
Trend-0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.2
424956
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +6.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 34 Latest recorded 49
54 42 30 2026-08-16 · Median 34 2026-08-17 · Median 34 2026-08-18 · Median 34 2026-08-19 · Median 34 2026-08-20 · Median 41 2026-08-22 · Median 41 2026-08-23 · Median 41.4 2026-08-25 · Median 41.4 2026-08-27 · Median 41 2026-08-28 · Median 41 2026-09-01 · Median 41 2026-09-02 · Median 41 2026-09-03 · Median 41 2026-09-05 · Median 41 2026-09-06 · Median 41 2026-09-09 · Median 49 2026-09-14 · Median 49.2 2026-09-15 · Median 49 2026-09-16 · Median 49 2026-09-17 · Median 49 2026-09-18 · Median 49 2026-09-19 · Median 49 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 49 2026-09-24 · Median 49 2026-09-25 · Median 49 2026-09-29 · Median 49 2026-09-30 · Median 49 2026-10-03 · Median 49 2026-10-04 · Median 49 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0449
2026-10-0349
2026-09-3049
2026-09-2949
2026-09-2549
2026-09-2449
2026-09-2249
2026-09-2149
2026-09-1949
2026-09-1849
2026-09-1749
2026-09-1649
2026-09-1549
2026-09-1449.2
2026-09-0949
2026-09-0641
2026-09-0541
2026-09-0341
2026-09-0241
2026-09-0141
2026-08-2841
2026-08-2741
2026-08-2541.4
2026-08-2341.4
2026-08-2241
2026-08-2041
2026-08-1934
2026-08-1834
2026-08-1734
2026-08-1634

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 58
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.2
424956
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +6.5

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence58
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection43.8
Projected range25–62
Arrival probability10%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.