Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Niko Mazza

SF · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,692
Score49.9
Baseline48
Signal-5.8
Trend-0.2
Floor41
Baseline48
Ceiling55
Confidence60 Risk24 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Niko Mazza

SF · AA · P

San Francisco Giants · Age at assessment: 24.6 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,692
Prospect Score49.9
Median48
Performance Signal-5.8
Trend-0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.2
414855
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -5.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 42 Latest recorded 48
52 44.5 37 2026-08-16 · Median 42 2026-08-17 · Median 42 2026-08-18 · Median 42 2026-08-19 · Median 42 2026-08-20 · Median 42 2026-08-22 · Median 42 2026-08-23 · Median 41.7 2026-08-25 · Median 41.7 2026-08-27 · Median 42 2026-08-28 · Median 42 2026-09-01 · Median 42 2026-09-02 · Median 42 2026-09-03 · Median 42 2026-09-05 · Median 42 2026-09-06 · Median 42 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 48 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-10-04 · Median 48 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0448
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1448
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0642
2026-09-0542
2026-09-0342
2026-09-0242
2026-09-0142
2026-08-2842
2026-08-2742
2026-08-2541.7
2026-08-2341.7
2026-08-2242
2026-08-2042
2026-08-1942
2026-08-1842
2026-08-1742
2026-08-1642

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.2
414855
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -5.8

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection44.9
Projected range22–68
Arrival probability35%
Productive role probability4%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.