Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Noah Cardenas

MIN · AAA · C · Age 27

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score35.8#3,744 Overall
Baseline35Most likely outcome
Performance44Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor28Lower-end outcome
Baseline35Most likely outcome
Ceiling42High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
44Developing performance profile
Power.193 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact25.1% KNear expected range
Approach14.2% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid62How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh22Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection41.0
Projected Range24–58
Arrival Probability24%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationMinnesota Twins
LevelAAA
PositionC
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 36 Latest recorded 35
40 35.5 31 2026-09-02 · Median 36 2026-09-03 · Median 36 2026-09-05 · Median 36 2026-09-06 · Median 36 2026-09-09 · Median 36 2026-09-14 · Median 35.8 2026-09-15 · Median 36 2026-09-16 · Median 36 2026-09-17 · Median 36 2026-09-18 · Median 36 2026-09-19 · Median 36 2026-09-21 · Median 35 2026-09-22 · Median 35 2026-09-24 · Median 35 2026-09-25 · Median 35 2026-09-29 · Median 35 2026-09-30 · Median 35 2026-10-03 · Median 35 2026-10-04 · Median 35 2026-10-05 · Median 35 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 35

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0535
2026-10-0435
2026-10-0335
2026-09-3035
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2026-09-1936
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2026-09-1435.8
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2026-09-0536
2026-09-0336
2026-09-0236